Kim Chiarello vs Severine Deppner Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Kim Chiarello has excelled in second serve performance, securing 40.51% of points, slightly edging out Severine Deppner at 38.36%. How important is second serve efficiency in predicting match outcomes? It appears to be quite significant.
• When analyzing return game performance, Kim Chiarello has a slight disadvantage on second serve returns compared to Severine Deppner, winning 51.46% versus 51.94%. However, Deppner has a more pronounced advantage on first serve returns, with 35.95% compared to Chiarello's 30.62%.
• In terms of saving breakpoints, Severine Deppner narrowly leads with 43.44%, while Kim Chiarello maintains a competitive 42.47%. Could this give Deppner a slight edge in high-pressure situations?
• Overall match performance over the past year favors Kim Chiarello, who has won 66.67% of her matches, whereas Severine Deppner has won 43.33%.
• Analyzing surface preferences, both players thrive on hard surfaces with an 86% win rate. However, Chiarello struggles on clay, having not won any matches, while Deppner manages a 33% win rate on the same surface.
• The competitive level of their opponents differs, with Chiarello facing players ranked around 280.67, whereas Deppner faced opponents with an average rank of 200.57.
• Both players have proven resilience in deciding sets, each with a 67% win rate over the past year.
• Considering tournament level, Chiarello has dominated Challengers/ITF tournaments winning 85.71%, whereas Deppner's performance in Futures/Satellites has been moderate at 48.00%.

Editorial Prediction (October 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Kim Chiarello and Severine Deppner presents an interesting clash of strengths and weaknesses.

Chiarello's superior second serve performance and excellent overall match win percentage over the last year suggest a strong competitive edge. Despite a slightly weaker return game compared to Deppner, Chiarello has consistently shown the ability to win matches, especially on her favored surface.

Deppner’s advantage in first serve returns and experience against higher-ranked opponents may present a challenge. However, her moderate win percentage and lower performance consistency could be concerning factors.

While both players are competent in deciding sets, the broader context of Chiarello’s tournament success and match statistics implies she holds a marginal advantage.

Based on the statistical analysis, Kim Chiarello is the more likely winner in this matchup.